Pro League · Aug 24, 2024 15:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Burnley
PWR 25
2 - 2
FT
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
65% H
21% D
14% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Burnley to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Burnley Form
WWWWW
UP
Northampton To… Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS18%
Under 2.543%
Burnley Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Northampton… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.47
Burnleyvs
0.20
Northampton To…Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Burnley+135
Gap#136
Northampton…
WR 39% 222 pts
WR 32% 65 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 149 | 58 | 48 | 43 | 212 | 193 | 222 |
| Northampton Tow… | 53 | 17 | 14 | 22 | 63 | 84 | 65 |
Burnley
20.0%
| Aug 17 | Burnley v AFC Wim… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Cardiff | 5-0 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Lincoln | 1-2 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Cardiff | 5-0 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Lincoln | 1-2 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v AFC Wim… | 2-0 |
| Aug 13 | Burnley v Wigan | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Burnley v AFC Wim… | 1-2 |
| Aug 12 | Burnley v Bolton | 1-4 |
| Aug 10 | Burnley v Harroga… | 0-2 |
Northampton To…
8.0%
| Aug 17 | Northam… v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Aug 13 | Northam… v Wycombe | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | Northam… v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Northam… v Burnley | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Northam… v Burnley | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Northam… v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Northam… v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Apr 13 | Northam… v Fleetwo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 13 | Northam… v Fleetwo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 06 | Northam… v Carlisle | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-2 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.