Pro League · Sep 21, 2024 15:00
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
1 - 2
FT
Burnley
PWR 25
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (18%)
0-2 (16%)
0-0 (10%)
0-3 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Bolton Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Burnley Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS33%
Under 2.562%
Bolton Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Burnley Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Boltonvs
1.76
BurnleyDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Bolton-10
Gap#1
Burnley
WR 30% 170 pts
WR 39% 222 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 152 | 45 | 35 | 72 | 197 | 249 | 170 |
| Burnley | 149 | 58 | 48 | 43 | 212 | 193 | 222 |
Bolton
8.0%
| Sep 14 | Bolton v Millwall | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Bolton v Hudders… | 0-4 |
| Sep 14 | Bolton v Hudders… | 0-4 |
| Sep 14 | Bolton v Aldersh… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Bolton v Rotherh… | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Bolton v Exeter … | 0-2 |
| Aug 31 | Bolton v Exeter … | 0-2 |
| Aug 31 | Bolton v Northam… | 0-0 |
| Aug 31 | Bolton v Yeovil … | 1-3 |
| Aug 30 | Bolton v QPR | 1-2 |
Burnley
6.0%
| Sep 14 | Burnley v Newport… | 2-4 |
| Sep 14 | Burnley v Leeds | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Burnley v Stevena… | 3-0 |
| Sep 14 | Burnley v Stevena… | 3-0 |
| Sep 07 | Burnley v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Burnley v Bristol… | 2-1 |
| Aug 31 | Burnley v Crewe | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Burnley v Crewe | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Burnley v Blackbu… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Burnley v Crawley… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 12, 2024 | Bolton | 1-4 | Burnley |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Bolton | 1-3 | Burnley |
| Mar 05, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Bolton |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Bolton |
| Jan 02, 2023 | Burnley | 0-3 | Bolton |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Bolton | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
Key Factors
Burnley struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.