Pro League · Mar 05, 2024 15:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
2 - 2
FT
Bolton
PWR 39
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Burnley to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Burnley Form
LLWWL
DOWN
Bolton Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS53%
Under 2.541%
Burnley Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Bolton Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Burnleyvs
0.89
BoltonDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Burnley+10
Gap#11
Bolton
WR 39% 222 pts
WR 30% 170 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 149 | 58 | 48 | 43 | 212 | 193 | 222 |
| Bolton | 152 | 45 | 35 | 72 | 197 | 249 | 170 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-2 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Burnley v Wycombe | 2-4 |
| Mar 02 | Burnley v Wycombe | 2-4 |
| Feb 24 | Burnley v Crystal… | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Burnley v Derby | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Burnley v Crystal… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Burnley v Arsenal | 0-5 |
| Feb 17 | Burnley v Chester… | 4-3 |
| Feb 17 | Burnley v Fleetwo… | 1-2 |
Bolton
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Bolton v Aston V… | 2-3 |
| Mar 02 | Bolton v Cambrid… | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Bolton v Chelsea | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Bolton v Carlisle | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Bolton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Bolton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Northam… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bolton v Liverpo… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Feb 03, 2024 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Bolton |
| Jan 02, 2023 | Burnley | 0-3 | Bolton |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Bolton | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Jul 07, 2020 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Burnley struggling (3L in last 5)
Bolton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.