Predictions Match Details
Pro League · Apr 27, 2024 15:00

Burnley
PWR 25
1 - 1
FT

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Burnley to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Burnley Form LLWLL
DOWN
Northampton To… Form LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS15%
Under 2.572%
Burnley Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Northampton… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Burnley
vs
0.20
Northampton To…
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Burnley
+135
Gap
#136
Northampton…
WR 39% 222 pts WR 32% 65 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Burnley149584843212193222
Northampton Tow…53171422638465
Burnley 4.0%
Apr 20 Burnley v Blackpo… 3-2
Apr 20 Burnley v Blackpo… 3-2
Apr 20 Burnley v Sheffie… 1-4
Apr 20 Burnley v Gateshe… 2-1
Apr 16 Burnley v Portsmo… 3-2
Apr 16 Burnley v Portsmo… 3-2
Apr 16 Burnley v Oxford … 1-3
Apr 13 Burnley v Brighton 1-1
Apr 13 Burnley v Reading… 2-2
Apr 13 Burnley v Brighton 1-1
Northampton To… 4.0%
Apr 20 Northam… v Exeter … 1-2
Apr 20 Northam… v Exeter … 1-2
Apr 13 Northam… v Fleetwo… 2-0
Apr 13 Northam… v Fleetwo… 2-0
Apr 06 Northam… v Carlisle 2-0
Apr 01 Northam… v Port Va… 2-0
Apr 01 Northam… v Port Va… 2-0
Mar 29 Northam… v Reading… 1-0
Mar 29 Northam… v Reading… 1-0
Mar 23 Northam… v Derby 1-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 23, 2023 Northampton T… 1-2 Burnley
Key Factors
Burnley struggling (4L in last 5)
Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.