Pro League · Mar 03, 2024 15:00

Manchester City
PWR 46
3 - 1
FT

Manchester United
PWR 39
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Manchester City to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 2-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense71
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack55
Defense55
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.5
Manchester City Form DDWDW
STABLE
Manchester Uni… Form LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS56%
Under 2.548%
Manchester … Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Manchester … Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Manchester City
vs
1.28
Manchester Uni…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Manchester …
+140
Gap
#146
Manchester …
WR 41% 186 pts WR 38% 61 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Manchester City120493932181144186
Manchester Unit…45171018656861
Manchester City 14.0%
Feb 27 Manches… v Watford 1-1
Feb 27 Manches… v Watford 1-1
Feb 24 Manches… v Bournem… 0-1
Feb 24 Manches… v Southam… 1-1
Feb 20 Manches… v Brentfo… 1-0
Feb 20 Manches… v Brentfo… 1-0
Feb 17 Manches… v Chelsea 1-1
Feb 17 Manches… v Accring… 1-1
Feb 17 Manches… v Accring… 1-1
Feb 17 Manches… v Chelsea 1-1
Manchester Uni… 12.0%
Feb 24 Manches… v Fulham 1-2
Feb 24 Manches… v Fulham 1-2
Feb 18 Manches… v Bolton 1-2
Feb 11 Manches… v Aston V… 1-2
Feb 11 Manches… v Aston V… 1-2
Feb 04 Manches… v West Br… 3-0
Feb 04 Manches… v West Br… 3-0
Feb 01 Manches… v Wolves 3-4
Feb 01 Manches… v Wolves 3-4
Jan 14 Manches… v Tottenh… 2-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 29, 2023 Manchester Un… 0-3 Manchester Ci…
Jun 03, 2023 Manchester Ci… 2-1 Manchester Un…
Jan 14, 2023 Manchester Un… 2-1 Manchester Ci…
Oct 02, 2022 Manchester Ci… 6-3 Manchester Un…
Key Factors
Manchester United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.