AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League May 19, 2024

Brighton

Home
VS
15:00

Manchester United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Brighton Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Manchester United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.65 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Brighton Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Brighton vs Chelsea 1-2
May 15 Brighton vs Chelsea 1-2
May 11 Brighton vs Newcastle… 1-1
May 11 Brighton vs Newcastle… 1-1
May 05 Brighton vs Aston Vil… 1-0
May 05 Brighton vs Aston Vil… 1-0
Apr 28 Brighton vs Bournemou… 3-0
Apr 28 Brighton vs Bournemou… 3-0
Apr 27 Brighton vs Fleetwood… 3-0
Apr 25 Brighton vs Mancheste… 0-4
Manchester United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Mancheste… vs Newcastle… 3-2
May 15 Mancheste… vs Newcastle… 3-2
May 12 Mancheste… vs Arsenal 0-1
May 12 Mancheste… vs Arsenal 0-1
May 06 Mancheste… vs Crystal P… 4-0
May 06 Mancheste… vs Crystal P… 4-0
Apr 27 Mancheste… vs Burnley 1-1
Apr 27 Mancheste… vs Burnley 1-1
Apr 24 Mancheste… vs Sheffield… 4-2
Apr 24 Mancheste… vs Sheffield… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 16, 2023 Manchester United 1 - 3 Brighton Premier League
May 04, 2023 Brighton 1 - 0 Manchester United Premier League
Apr 23, 2023 Brighton 0 - 0 Manchester United FA Cup
Aug 07, 2022 Manchester United 1 - 2 Brighton Premier League
May 07, 2022 Brighton 4 - 0 Manchester United Premier League
Feb 15, 2022 Manchester United 2 - 0 Brighton Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brighton to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brighton Power 36
Manchester United Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.