Pro League · Jan 01, 2024 15:00

Accrington ST
PWR 37
3 - 0
FT

Watford
PWR 36
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Accrington ST to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense68
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Accrington ST Form DDLLW
STABLE
Watford Form LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS70%
Under 2.532%
Accrington … Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Watford Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Accrington ST
vs
1.71
Watford
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#65
Accrington …
-55
Gap
#10
Watford
WR 27% 81 pts WR 34% 171 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Accrington ST752021349111681
Watford128443945174184171
Accrington ST 8.0%
Dec 29 Accring… v Barrow 1-1
Dec 29 Accring… v Barrow 1-1
Dec 26 Accring… v Harroga… 2-1
Dec 26 Accring… v Harroga… 2-1
Dec 23 Accring… v Walsall 2-1
Dec 23 Accring… v Walsall 2-1
Dec 16 Accring… v Crewe 3-3
Dec 09 Accring… v Doncast… 0-0
Nov 28 Accring… v Swindon 3-4
Nov 25 Accring… v Brentfo… 1-0
Watford 2.0%
Dec 29 Watford v Grimsby 0-3
Dec 29 Watford v Grimsby 0-3
Dec 29 Watford v Stoke C… 1-1
Dec 26 Watford v Tranmer… 1-5
Dec 26 Watford v Bristol… 1-4
Dec 26 Watford v Tranmer… 1-5
Dec 26 Watford v Bristol… 1-4
Dec 23 Watford v Blackbu… 1-2
Dec 23 Watford v Blackbu… 1-2
Dec 22 Watford v Manches… 2-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Aug 26, 2023 Watford 1-2 Accrington ST
Sep 20, 2022 Watford 0-0 Accrington ST
Aug 29, 2020 Watford 0-1 Accrington ST
Key Factors
Watford struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.