Pro League · Feb 10, 2024 15:00

Crewe
PWR 38
1 - 0
FT

Crawley Town
PWR 30
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Crewe to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 3% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense62
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.3
Attack33
Defense51
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.6
Crewe Form DDLWW
STABLE
Crawley Town Form LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS65%
Under 2.538%
Crewe Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Crawley Town Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Crewe
vs
1.64
Crawley Town
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#28
Crewe
+102
Gap
#130
Crawley Town
WR 33% 101 pts WR 37% 66 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Crewe752526248288101
Crawley Town5219924707966
Crewe 12.0%
Feb 03 Crewe v Tranmer… 0-0
Feb 03 Crewe v Tranmer… 0-0
Jan 27 Crewe v Watford 2-3
Jan 20 Crewe v Barrow 1-3
Jan 20 Crewe v Barrow 1-3
Jan 13 Crewe v Swindon 2-1
Jan 06 Crewe v Mansfie… 0-1
Jan 01 Crewe v Brentfo… 1-0
Dec 29 Crewe v Newport… 1-1
Dec 29 Crewe v Newport… 1-1
Crawley Town 4.0%
Feb 03 Crawley… v Morecam… 1-2
Jan 23 Crawley… v Peterbo… 2-1
Jan 13 Crawley… v Watford 0-1
Jan 13 Crawley… v Watford 0-1
Jan 06 Crawley… v Brentfo… 2-4
Jan 01 Crawley… v Swindon 3-1
Dec 29 Crawley… v Milton … 2-0
Dec 26 Crawley… v Birming… 0-2
Dec 26 Crawley… v Birming… 0-2
Dec 22 Crawley… v AFC Wim… 1-2
Head-to-Head (3)
Oct 21, 2023 Crawley Town 2-4 Crewe
Feb 11, 2023 Crawley Town 2-2 Crewe
Sep 17, 2022 Crewe 1-0 Crawley Town
Key Factors
Crawley Town struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.