Pro League · Mar 29, 2024 15:00
Watford
PWR 36
Southampton
PWR 36
Watford
PWR 36
1 - 2
FT
Southampton
PWR 36
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Watford to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack43
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Watford Form
WWWWD
UP
Southampton Form
WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS75%
Under 2.527%
Watford Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Southampton Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Watfordvs
1.92
SouthamptonDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Watford+28
Gap#38
Southampton
WR 34% 171 pts
WR 31% 94 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 128 | 44 | 39 | 45 | 174 | 184 | 171 |
| Southampton | 78 | 24 | 22 | 32 | 108 | 123 | 94 |
Watford
18.0%
| Mar 23 | Watford v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Mar 17 | Watford v Morecam… | 3-1 |
| Mar 16 | Watford v Birming… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Watford v Birming… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Watford v Stockpo… | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Watford v Coventry | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Watford v Milton … | 3-1 |
| Mar 09 | Watford v Milton … | 3-1 |
| Mar 06 | Watford v Swansea | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Watford v Swansea | 1-1 |
Southampton
16.0%
| Mar 23 | Southam… v Accring… | 3-1 |
| Mar 16 | Southam… v Forest … | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Southam… v Forest … | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | Southam… v Crewe | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Southam… v Sunderl… | 4-2 |
| Mar 09 | Southam… v Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Southam… v Birming… | 3-4 |
| Mar 02 | Southam… v Tranmer… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Southam… v Birming… | 3-4 |
| Feb 27 | Southam… v Newport… | 3-4 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Feb 06, 2024 | Southampton | 3-0 | Watford |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Southampton |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Southampton | 1-2 | Watford |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Watford | 0-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Watford | 1-3 | Southampton |
Key Factors
Watford in strong form (4W in last 5)
Southampton in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.