Pro League · Nov 09, 2024 15:00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
PWR 56
SC Paderborn 07
PWR 46
Fortuna Düsseldorf
PWR 56
1 - 1
FT
SC Paderborn 07
PWR 46
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Fortuna Düsseldorf to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-3 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
3-3 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense70
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Fortuna Düssel… Form
LLWLW
DOWN
SC Paderborn 07 Form
DLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.579%
BTTS86%
Under 2.521%
Fortuna Düs… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
SC Paderbor… Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Fortuna Düssel…vs
2.47
SC Paderborn 07Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum63%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#113
Fortuna Düs…+29
Gap#142
SC Paderbor…
WR 49% 69 pts
WR 45% 62 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseld… | 39 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 78 | 50 | 69 |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 55 | 62 |
Fortuna Düssel…
8.0%
| Nov 01 | Fortuna… v Preusse… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Fortuna… v FC Kais… | 3-4 |
| Oct 19 | Fortuna… v Jahn Re… | 0-3 |
| Oct 06 | Fortuna… v Hamburg… | 0-3 |
| Sep 27 | Fortuna… v SpVgg G… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Fortuna… v SpVgg G… | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | Fortuna… v FC Koln | 2-2 |
| Sep 15 | Fortuna… v Hertha | 0-2 |
| Aug 30 | Fortuna… v Hannove… | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | Fortuna… v Hannove… | 1-0 |
SC Paderborn 07
10.0%
| Nov 03 | SC Pade… v Eintrac… | 0-0 |
| Oct 30 | SC Pade… v Werder … | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | SC Pade… v FC Koln | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | SC Pade… v FC Kais… | 3-0 |
| Oct 04 | SC Pade… v Jahn Re… | 3-0 |
| Sep 28 | SC Pade… v Hamburg… | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | SC Pade… v Hannove… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | SC Pade… v Hannove… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | SC Pade… v Preusse… | 3-3 |
| Sep 13 | SC Pade… v Preusse… | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Feb 04, 2024 | SC Paderborn … | 4-3 | Fortuna Düsse… |
| Feb 04, 2024 | SC Paderborn … | 4-3 | Fortuna Düsse… |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Fortuna Düsse… | 1-2 | SC Paderborn … |
| Feb 03, 2023 | SC Paderborn … | 4-1 | Fortuna Düsse… |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Fortuna Düsse… | 2-1 | SC Paderborn … |
| Mar 12, 2022 | SC Paderborn … | 1-1 | Fortuna Düsse… |
| Oct 02, 2021 | Fortuna Düsse… | 2-3 | SC Paderborn … |
| Apr 24, 2021 | SC Paderborn … | 2-1 | Fortuna Düsse… |
Key Factors
Fortuna Düsseldorf struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.