AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Apr 27, 2024

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
VS
15:00

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bayer Leverkusen Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
VfB Stuttgart Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.84 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Bayer Leverkusen Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Bayer Lev… vs Borussia … 1-1
Apr 21 Bayer Lev… vs Borussia … 1-1
Apr 18 Bayer Lev… vs West Brom 1-1
Apr 14 Bayer Lev… vs Werder Br… 5-0
Apr 14 Bayer Lev… vs Werder Br… 5-0
Apr 11 Bayer Lev… vs West Brom 2-0
Apr 06 Bayer Lev… vs Union Ber… 0-1
Apr 03 Bayer Lev… vs Fortuna D… 4-0
Mar 30 Bayer Lev… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-1
Mar 30 Bayer Lev… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-1
VfB Stuttgart Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Apr 21 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Apr 13 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 3-0
Apr 13 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 3-0
Apr 06 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 0-1
Apr 06 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 0-1
Mar 31 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-3
Mar 16 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-3
Mar 16 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-3
Mar 08 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 2 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Pro League
May 14, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2022 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Feb 12, 2022 Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bayer Leverkusen to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayer Leverkusen Power 42
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.