AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Aug 03, 2025

Atletico-MG

Home
VS
21:30

RB Bragantino

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Atletico-MG Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
RB Bragantino Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.31 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Atletico-MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Atletico-MG Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 01 Atletico-… vs Flamengo 0-1
Jul 27 Atletico-… vs Flamengo 1-0
Jul 20 Atletico-… vs Palmeiras 3-2
Jul 13 Atletico-… vs Bahia 2-1
Jun 13 Atletico-… vs Internaci… 2-0
Jun 01 Atletico-… vs Ceará 0-1
May 25 Atletico-… vs Corinthia… 0-0
May 22 Atletico-… vs Maringá 4-0
May 18 Atletico-… vs Cruzeiro 0-0
May 11 Atletico-… vs Fluminense 3-2
RB Bragantino Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 29 RB Bragan… vs São Paulo… 2-4
Jul 29 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 2-0
Jul 26 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 3-1
Jul 24 RB Bragan… vs Flamengo 1-2
Jul 22 RB Bragan… vs Vasco U17 0-2
Jul 20 RB Bragan… vs Vitoria 1-0
Jul 17 RB Bragan… vs São Paulo… 2-2
Jul 15 RB Bragan… vs Atlético … 2-3
Jul 13 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Jul 08 RB Bragan… vs Atlético … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atletico-MG struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • RB Bragantino struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2024 Atletico-MG 3 - 0 RB Bragantino Serie A
Jun 12, 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Oct 26, 2023 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Jun 10, 2023 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
Sep 07, 2022 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
May 11, 2022 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Dec 05, 2021 Atletico-MG 4 - 3 RB Bragantino Serie A
Aug 29, 2021 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Jan 11, 2021 RB Bragantino 2 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atletico-MG Power 0
RB Bragantino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Atletico-MG Position

-12

Position Gap

1

RB Bragantino Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.