Serie A · Jul 20, 2025 00:00

São Paulo FC
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Corinthians
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
São Paulo FC Win
Prediction
4-0
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (23%) 0-1 (22%) 1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITEFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Paulo FC Form DDLWL
STABLE
Corinthians Form LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS25%
Under 2.581%
São Paulo FC Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Corinthians Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
São Paulo FC
vs
0.96
Corinthians
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum45%
Standings91%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
São Paulo FC
+14
Gap
#19
Corinthians
WR 100% 4 pts WR 0% 0 pts
São Paulo FC 8.0%
Jul 17 São Pau… v RB Brag… 2-2
Jul 15 São Pau… v Juventu… 1-1
Jul 12 São Pau… v Flamengo 2-0
Jul 09 São Pau… v Fortale… 1-2
Jul 01 São Pau… v Atlétic… 1-3
Jun 24 São Pau… v Corinth… 1-1
Jun 17 São Pau… v Remo 1-0
Jun 13 São Pau… v Vasco D… 1-3
Jun 10 São Pau… v Palmeir… 2-1
Jun 03 São Pau… v Flumine… 1-0
Corinthians 12.0%
Jul 19 Corinth… v Paysand… 2-5
Jul 16 Corinth… v Ceará 0-1
Jul 15 Corinth… v Fortale… 4-1
Jul 13 Corinth… v RB Brag… 1-2
Jul 11 Corinth… v CRB 0-1
Jul 08 Corinth… v Interna… 2-1
Jul 04 Corinth… v Volta R… 2-0
Jul 02 Corinth… v Atlétic… 2-1
Jun 28 Corinth… v Athleti… 0-1
Jun 24 Corinth… v São Pau… 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Jun 24, 2025 Corinthians 1-1 São Paulo FC
Jan 26, 2025 São Paulo FC 3-1 Corinthians
Sep 29, 2024 São Paulo FC 3-1 Corinthians
Sep 22, 2024 Corinthians 2-0 São Paulo FC
Sep 15, 2024 São Paulo FC 1-3 Corinthians
Jun 16, 2024 Corinthians 2-2 São Paulo FC
Jan 30, 2024 Corinthians 1-2 São Paulo FC
Sep 30, 2023 São Paulo FC 2-1 Corinthians
Aug 16, 2023 São Paulo FC 2-0 Corinthians
Jul 26, 2023 Corinthians 2-1 São Paulo FC
Key Factors
Corinthians in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.