Serie A · Jul 13, 2025 23:30
Fortaleza
PWR 41
Ceará
PWR 42
Fortaleza
PWR 41
0 - 1
FT
Ceará
PWR 42
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Fortaleza to win (90% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
90%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense51
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.4
Attack34
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Fortaleza Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Ceará Form
LLLWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS34%
Under 2.540%
Fortaleza Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Ceará Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Fortalezavs
0.44
CearáDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#14
Fortaleza+5
Gap#19
Ceará
WR 31% 101 pts
WR 28% 61 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | 83 | 26 | 23 | 34 | 95 | 117 | 101 |
| Ceará | 54 | 15 | 16 | 23 | 52 | 59 | 61 |
Fortaleza
0.0%
| Jul 10 | Fortale… v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Jul 09 | Fortale… v São Pau… | 1-2 |
| Jul 01 | Fortale… v Interna… | 3-0 |
| Jun 25 | Fortale… v Remo | 0-2 |
| Jun 18 | Fortale… v Vasco U… | 1-0 |
| Jun 12 | Fortale… v Santos | 2-3 |
| Jun 11 | Fortale… v Bahia | 3-0 |
| Jun 04 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 3-1 |
| Jun 01 | Fortale… v Flamengo | 5-0 |
| May 28 | Fortale… v America… | 1-1 |
Ceará
6.0%
| Jun 04 | Ceará v Botafogo | 3-2 |
| Jun 01 | Ceará v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Ceará v Palmeir… | 3-0 |
| May 17 | Ceará v Sport R… | 2-0 |
| May 12 | Ceará v Santos | 0-0 |
| May 03 | Ceará v Vitoria | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | Ceará v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Ceará v São Pau… | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Ceará v Bahia | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Ceará v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1-2 | Ceará |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Ceará |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-3 | Ceará |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Ceará | 2-2 | Fortaleza |
Key Factors
Fortaleza struggling (5L in last 5)
Ceará struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.