AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 24, 2025

Fluminense

Home
VS
21:30

Vasco DA Gama

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Fluminense Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Vasco DA Gama Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.23 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Fluminense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Fluminense vs Cuiaba U17 5-0
May 21 Fluminense vs Aparecide… 1-4
May 18 Fluminense vs Juventude 1-1
May 13 Fluminense vs RB Bragan… 4-0
May 11 Fluminense vs Atletico-… 3-2
May 03 Fluminense vs Sport Rec… 2-1
Apr 30 Fluminense vs Aparecide… 1-0
Apr 27 Fluminense vs Botafogo 2-0
Apr 20 Fluminense vs Vitoria 1-1
Apr 16 Fluminense vs Corinthia… 0-2
Vasco DA Gama Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 Vasco DA … vs Operário-… 1-1
May 17 Vasco DA … vs Fortaleza 3-0
May 10 Vasco DA … vs Vitoria 2-1
May 04 Vasco DA … vs Palmeiras 0-1
May 01 Vasco DA … vs Operário-… 1-1
Apr 27 Vasco DA … vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Apr 19 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 0-0
Apr 16 Vasco DA … vs Ceará 2-1
Apr 13 Vasco DA … vs Sport Rec… 3-1
Apr 05 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 2 Fluminense Carioca - 1
Aug 11, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Apr 20, 2024 Fluminense 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Feb 15, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Sep 16, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 4 - 2 Fluminense Serie A
May 07, 2023 Fluminense 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Feb 12, 2023 Fluminense 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fluminense to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fluminense Power 0
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Fluminense Position

+9

Position Gap

15

Vasco DA Gama Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.