AI Match Insights

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Serie A Apr 20, 2025

São Paulo FC

Home
VS
19:00

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
São Paulo FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Santos Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.18 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.3 Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
São Paulo FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 São Paulo… vs Botafogo 2-2
Apr 13 São Paulo… vs Cruzeiro 1-1
Apr 06 São Paulo… vs Atletico-… 0-0
Mar 29 São Paulo… vs Sport Rec… 0-0
Mar 11 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 1-0
Feb 23 São Paulo… vs São Berna… 1-3
Feb 16 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 0-0
Feb 14 São Paulo… vs Velo Clube 3-3
Feb 08 São Paulo… vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Feb 05 São Paulo… vs Mirassol 4-1
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Santos vs Atletico-… 2-0
Apr 13 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Apr 06 Santos vs Bahia 2-2
Apr 03 Santos vs RB Bragan… 4-1
Mar 30 Santos vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Mar 30 Santos vs Remo 2-0
Mar 20 Santos vs Moto Club… 1-1
Mar 16 Santos vs Fluminense 3-2
Mar 09 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Mar 09 Santos vs Corinthia… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santos struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Santos 3 - 1 São Paulo FC Paulista - A1
Jun 08, 2024 Santos 0 - 4 São Paulo FC Brasileiro Wom…
Feb 14, 2024 São Paulo FC 0 - 1 Santos Paulista - A1
Nov 12, 2023 Santos 0 - 0 São Paulo FC Serie A
Jul 16, 2023 São Paulo FC 4 - 1 Santos Serie A
Feb 12, 2023 São Paulo FC 3 - 1 Santos Paulista - A1
Aug 21, 2022 Santos 1 - 0 São Paulo FC Serie A
May 02, 2022 São Paulo FC 2 - 1 Santos Serie A
Feb 20, 2022 Santos 0 - 3 São Paulo FC Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: São Paulo FC to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Paulo FC Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

São Paulo FC Position

+12

Position Gap

17

Santos Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.