Serie A · Apr 06, 2025 21:30

Vitoria
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Flamengo
PWR 35
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
Vitoria Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
74%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (25%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 74% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Vitoria Form LLDWL
DOWN
Flamengo Form DDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.517%
BTTS17%
Under 2.583%
Vitoria Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Flamengo Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Vitoria
vs
1.10
Flamengo
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum39%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Vitoria
+3
Gap
#15
Flamengo
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Vitoria 6.0%
Mar 29 Vitoria v Juventu… 2-0
Mar 23 Vitoria v Porto V… 0-2
Mar 23 Vitoria v Bahia 1-1
Mar 17 Vitoria v Porto V… 0-1
Mar 16 Vitoria v Bahia 2-0
Mar 12 Vitoria v Nautico… 0-2
Mar 08 Vitoria v Atlétic… 3-0
Mar 06 Vitoria v Santos 1-1
Mar 01 Vitoria v Atlétic… 0-4
Feb 25 Vitoria v Maranhã… 0-1
Flamengo 16.0%
Mar 30 Flamengo v Interna… 1-1
Mar 16 Flamengo v Flumine… 0-0
Mar 13 Flamengo v Flumine… 1-2
Mar 08 Flamengo v Vasco D… 2-1
Mar 01 Flamengo v Vasco D… 0-1
Feb 16 Flamengo v Vasco D… 2-0
Feb 08 Flamengo v Flumine… 0-0
Jan 25 Flamengo v Volta R… 0-2
Jan 22 Flamengo v Bangu 0-5
Jan 19 Flamengo v São Pau… 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Dec 08, 2024 Flamengo 2-2 Vitoria
Key Factors
Flamengo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.