Eredivisie · Oct 18, 2025 19:00
Ajax
PWR 35
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
Ajax
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (13%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ajax Form
DLWDL
STABLE
AZ Alkmaar Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS39%
Under 2.549%
Ajax Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Ajaxvs
0.58
AZ AlkmaarDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Ajax+3
Gap#7
AZ Alkmaar
WR 64% 39 pts
WR 46% 33 pts
Ajax
8.0%
| Oct 04 | Ajax v Sparta … | 3-3 |
| Sep 30 | Ajax v Marseil… | 4-0 |
| Sep 27 | Ajax v NAC Bre… | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | Ajax v PSV Ein… | 2-2 |
| Sep 17 | Ajax v Inter | 0-2 |
| Sep 13 | Ajax v Zwolle | 3-1 |
| Aug 30 | Ajax v FC Vole… | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Ajax v Heracles | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Ajax v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
| Aug 10 | Ajax v Telstar | 2-0 |
AZ Alkmaar
8.0%
| Oct 05 | AZ Alkm… v Telstar | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | AZ Alkm… v AEK Lar… | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | AZ Alkm… v Zwolle | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… | 3-3 |
| Sep 14 | AZ Alkm… v Heracles | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | AZ Alkm… v NAC Bre… | 0-1 |
| Aug 28 | AZ Alkm… v CSKA So… | 4-1 |
| Aug 21 | AZ Alkm… v CSKA So… | 0-2 |
| Aug 17 | AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 16, 2025 | Ajax | 2-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Dec 08, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | Ajax |
| Dec 08, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | Ajax |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Ajax | 1-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| May 06, 2023 | Ajax | 0-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Sep 18, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | Ajax |
| May 08, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-2 | Ajax |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.