Pro League · Jan 02, 2024 15:00
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Alavés
PWR 32
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Alavés
PWR 32
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Real Sociedad to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (42%)
1-0 (28%)
2-0 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack27
Defense63
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Real Sociedad Form
DDDWW
STABLE
Alavés Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.56%
BTTS9%
Under 2.594%
Real Socied… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Alavés Goals
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Real Sociedadvs
0.21
AlavésDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#141
Real Socied…+62
Gap#203
Alavés
WR 40% 63 pts
WR 30% 51 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 44 | 36 | 63 |
| Alavés | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 58 | 51 |
Real Sociedad
14.0%
| Dec 21 | Real So… v Cadiz | 0-0 |
| Dec 17 | Real So… v Real Be… | 0-0 |
| Dec 12 | Real So… v Inter | 0-0 |
| Dec 09 | Real So… v Villarr… | 0-3 |
| Dec 09 | Real So… v Villarr… | 0-3 |
| Dec 02 | Real So… v Osasuna | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | Real So… v Osasuna | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Real So… v RB Salz… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Real So… v Sevilla… | 2-1 |
| Nov 04 | Real So… v FC Barc… | 0-1 |
Alavés
2.0%
| Dec 21 | Alavés v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Alavés v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | Alavés v Girona | 3-0 |
| Dec 09 | Alavés v Las Pal… | 0-1 |
| Dec 03 | Alavés v Mallorca | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | Alavés v Granada | 3-1 |
| Nov 12 | Alavés v FC Barc… | 2-1 |
| Oct 29 | Alavés v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Oct 22 | Alavés v Villarr… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | Alavés v Real Be… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 13, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 1-0 | Alavés |
| Jan 02, 2022 | Alavés | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Alavés | 1-3 | Real Sociedad |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Real Sociedad | 3-1 | Alavés |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Real Sociedad | 4-0 | Alavés |
Key Factors
Alavés struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.