Pro League · Mar 31, 2024 15:00
Alavés
PWR 32
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Alavés
PWR 32
0 - 1
FT
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Alavés to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense63
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Alavés Form
LWWLL
STABLE
Real Sociedad Form
WWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS41%
Under 2.558%
Alavés Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Real Socied… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Alavésvs
0.72
Real SociedadDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#203
Alavés-62
Gap#141
Real Socied…
WR 30% 51 pts
WR 40% 63 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 58 | 51 |
| Real Sociedad | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 44 | 36 | 63 |
Alavés
8.0%
| Mar 16 | Alavés v Ath Bil… | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Alavés v Rayo Va… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Alavés v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Alavés v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Alavés v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Alavés v Mallorca | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Alavés v Real Be… | 0-0 |
| Feb 18 | Alavés v Real Be… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Alavés v Villarr… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Alavés v Villarr… | 1-1 |
Real Sociedad
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Real So… v Cadiz | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Real So… v Granada | 2-3 |
| Mar 05 | Real So… v Paris S… | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Real So… v Sevilla… | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Real So… v Mallorca | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Villarr… | 1-3 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Villarr… | 1-3 |
| Feb 18 | Real So… v Mallorca | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Real So… v Paris S… | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Real So… v Osasuna | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 02, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Alavés |
| Jan 02, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Alavés |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 1-0 | Alavés |
| Jan 02, 2022 | Alavés | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Alavés | 1-3 | Real Sociedad |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Real Sociedad | 3-1 | Alavés |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Real Sociedad | 4-0 | Alavés |
Key Factors
Alavés struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.