Pro League · Dec 03, 2023 15:00

Lille
PWR 37

Metz
PWR 22

Lille
PWR 37
2 - 0
FT

Metz
PWR 22
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Lille to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (5%)
3-1 (4%)
3-3 (3%)
2-2 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
3-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense55
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Lille Form
WWDWD
STABLE
Metz Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS86%
Under 2.535%
Lille Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Metz Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Lillevs
2.06
MetzDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#125
Lille+105
Gap#230
Metz
WR 49% 66 pts
WR 34% 45 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 66 |
| Metz | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 53 | 45 |
Lille
16.0%
| Nov 26 | Lille v Lyon | 0-2 |
| Nov 26 | Lille v Lyon | 0-2 |
| Nov 04 | Lille v Marseil… | 0-0 |
| Oct 01 | Lille v LE Havr… | 0-2 |
| Sep 16 | Lille v Rennes … | 2-2 |
| Jul 26 | Lille v LE Havr… | 3-2 |
| May 20 | Lille v Marseil… | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Lille v Auxerre | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Lille v Lyon | 3-3 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v Paris S… | 4-3 |
Metz
10.0%
| Nov 26 | Metz v Lorient | 2-3 |
| Nov 26 | Metz v Lorient | 2-3 |
| Nov 05 | Metz v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Sep 24 | Metz v Strasbo… | 0-1 |
| Aug 13 | Metz v Rennes … | 5-1 |
| Jan 07 | Metz v Lyon | 2-1 |
| Dec 09 | Metz v Auxerre | 1-5 |
| May 21 | Metz v Paris S… | 5-0 |
| May 14 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| May 08 | Metz v Lyon | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 18, 2022 | Lille | 0-0 | Metz |
| Aug 08, 2021 | Metz | 3-3 | Lille |
| Apr 09, 2021 | Metz | 0-2 | Lille |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Lille | 1-0 | Metz |
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.