Pro League · Apr 28, 2024 15:00
Metz
PWR 22
Lille
PWR 37
Metz
PWR 22
1 - 2
FT
Lille
PWR 37
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Metz to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Attack51
Defense55
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Metz Form
WWWLL
UP
Lille Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS57%
Under 2.547%
Metz Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Lille Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Metzvs
1.37
LilleDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#230
Metz-105
Gap#125
Lille
WR 34% 45 pts
WR 49% 66 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 53 | 45 |
| Lille | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 66 |
Metz
12.0%
| Apr 21 | Metz v LE Havr… | 0-1 |
| Apr 21 | Metz v LE Havr… | 0-1 |
| Apr 12 | Metz v Lens | 2-1 |
| Apr 07 | Metz v Brest | 4-3 |
| Mar 30 | Metz v Monaco | 2-5 |
| Mar 17 | Metz v Reims | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Metz v Clermont | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Metz v Nantes | 0-2 |
| Feb 23 | Metz v Lyon | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | Metz v Lyon | 1-2 |
Lille
8.0%
| Apr 24 | Lille v Monaco | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Lille v Bordeaux | 1-2 |
| Apr 24 | Lille v Monaco | 1-0 |
| Apr 21 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-0 |
| Apr 21 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-0 |
| Apr 13 | Lille v Montpel… | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | Lille v Marseil… | 3-1 |
| Apr 05 | Lille v Marseil… | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Lille v FC Fleu… | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Lille v Lens | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 03, 2023 | Lille | 2-0 | Metz |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Lille | 2-0 | Metz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Lille | 0-0 | Metz |
| Aug 08, 2021 | Metz | 3-3 | Lille |
| Apr 09, 2021 | Metz | 0-2 | Lille |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Lille | 1-0 | Metz |
Key Factors
Metz in strong form (3W in last 5)
Lille struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.