Pro League · Jan 13, 2024 15:00
Fortuna Sittard
PWR 40
Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 40
Fortuna Sittard
PWR 40
0 - 2
FT
Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 40
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Fortuna Sittard to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense44
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.6
Attack43
Defense48
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Fortuna Sittard Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Sparta Rotterd… Form
LDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS47%
Under 2.546%
Fortuna Sit… Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Sparta Rott… Goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Fortuna Sittardvs
0.76
Sparta Rotterd…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#212
Fortuna Sit…+29
Gap#241
Sparta Rott…
WR 33% 50 pts
WR 28% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 64 | 50 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 48 | 58 | 43 |
Fortuna Sittard
12.0%
| Dec 19 | Fortuna… v PSV Ein… | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | Fortuna… v NEC Nij… | 4-1 |
| Dec 10 | Fortuna… v Waalwijk | 1-0 |
| Dec 02 | Fortuna… v Vitesse | 3-1 |
| Nov 25 | Fortuna… v Heerenv… | 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Fortuna… v Heracles | 4-1 |
| Nov 05 | Fortuna… v Zwolle | 2-0 |
| Oct 21 | Fortuna… v PSV Ein… | 3-1 |
| Oct 01 | Fortuna… v AZ Alkm… | 4-0 |
| Sep 22 | Fortuna… v GO Ahea… | 3-0 |
Sparta Rotterd…
10.0%
| Dec 20 | Sparta … v ADO Den… | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | Sparta … v FC Twen… | 2-2 |
| Dec 09 | Sparta … v Ajax | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Sparta … v Heracles | 0-1 |
| Dec 02 | Sparta … v Heracles | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Sparta … v Utrecht | 1-2 |
| Nov 26 | Sparta … v Utrecht | 1-2 |
| Nov 12 | Sparta … v FC Vole… | 1-4 |
| Sep 01 | Sparta … v NEC Nij… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Sparta … v Heerenv… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 03, 2023 | Fortuna Sitta… | 0-0 | Sparta Rotter… |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Sparta Rotter… | 3-1 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Fortuna Sitta… | 3-0 | Sparta Rotter… |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Sparta Rotter… | 3-1 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Sparta Rotter… | 1-2 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Fortuna Sitta… | 0-1 | Sparta Rotter… |
Key Factors
Fortuna Sittard in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.