Pro League · Jan 13, 2024 15:00
FC Twente
PWR 61
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 58
FC Twente
PWR 61
2 - 1
FT
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 58
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: FC Twente to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack68
Defense59
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.2
Attack66
Defense56
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
FC Twente Form
DWWWW
STABLE
AZ Alkmaar Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
FC Twente Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
FC Twentevs
1.83
AZ AlkmaarDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#86
FC Twente+17
Gap#103
AZ Alkmaar
WR 56% 73 pts
WR 53% 71 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente | 39 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 46 | 73 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 40 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 75 | 50 | 71 |
FC Twente
18.0%
| Dec 17 | FC Twen… v Sparta … | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | FC Twen… v Excelsi… | 4-2 |
| Dec 08 | FC Twen… v Excelsi… | 4-2 |
| Dec 03 | FC Twen… v GO Ahea… | 1-3 |
| Dec 03 | FC Twen… v GO Ahea… | 1-3 |
| Nov 25 | FC Twen… v PSV Ein… | 0-3 |
| Nov 05 | FC Twen… v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | FC Twen… v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Oct 22 | FC Twen… v Heracles | 2-2 |
| Sep 30 | FC Twen… v Heerenv… | 1-0 |
AZ Alkmaar
8.0%
| Dec 20 | AZ Alkm… v HHC | 2-3 |
| Dec 17 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 0-4 |
| Dec 17 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 0-4 |
| Dec 09 | AZ Alkm… v Almere … | 4-1 |
| Dec 06 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 1-2 |
| Dec 06 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 1-2 |
| Dec 03 | AZ Alkm… v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… | 3-0 |
| Nov 26 | AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… | 3-0 |
| Nov 04 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 19, 2023 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Sep 11, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 | FC Twente |
| Mar 13, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0-1 | FC Twente |
| Jan 19, 2022 | FC Twente | 1-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Sep 23, 2021 | FC Twente | 3-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
Key Factors
FC Twente in strong form (4W in last 5)
AZ Alkmaar struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.