Pro League · Sep 28, 2024 15:00

Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 40
1 - 1
FT

Fortuna Sittard
PWR 40
65% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Sparta Rotterdam to win (75% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
75%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense48
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Attack44
Defense44
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.6
Sparta Rotterd… Form WLWWD
STABLE
Fortuna Sittard Form LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS29%
Under 2.569%
Sparta Rott… Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Fortuna Sit… Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Sparta Rotterd…
vs
0.46
Fortuna Sittard
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#241
Sparta Rott…
-29
Gap
#212
Fortuna Sit…
WR 28% 43 pts WR 33% 50 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Sparta Rotterdam39111018485843
Fortuna Sittard40131116506450
Sparta Rotterd… 14.0%
Sep 21 Sparta … v Waalwijk 1-2
Sep 15 Sparta … v GO Ahea… 1-2
Aug 31 Sparta … v Willem … 1-2
Aug 31 Sparta … v Willem … 1-2
Aug 25 Sparta … v Feyenoo… 1-1
Aug 25 Sparta … v Feyenoo… 1-1
Aug 17 Sparta … v FC Twen… 1-1
Aug 11 Sparta … v Heracles 0-0
Aug 11 Sparta … v Heracles 0-0
Aug 03 Sparta … v NAC Bre… 2-1
Fortuna Sittard 0.0%
Sep 22 Fortuna… v PSV Ein… 1-3
Sep 22 Fortuna… v PSV Ein… 1-3
Sep 18 Fortuna… v Ajax 5-0
Sep 18 Fortuna… v Ajax 5-0
Sep 14 Fortuna… v NAC Bre… 1-0
Aug 31 Fortuna… v Nijmegen 0-3
Aug 16 Fortuna… v Almere … 3-0
Aug 16 Fortuna… v Almere … 3-0
Aug 11 Fortuna… v GO Ahea… 0-2
Aug 11 Fortuna… v GO Ahea… 0-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 30, 2024 Sparta Rotter… 4-0 Fortuna Sitta…
Mar 30, 2024 Sparta Rotter… 4-0 Fortuna Sitta…
Jan 13, 2024 Fortuna Sitta… 0-2 Sparta Rotter…
Jan 13, 2024 Fortuna Sitta… 0-2 Sparta Rotter…
Feb 03, 2023 Fortuna Sitta… 0-0 Sparta Rotter…
Oct 29, 2022 Sparta Rotter… 3-1 Fortuna Sitta…
Apr 16, 2022 Fortuna Sitta… 3-0 Sparta Rotter…
Sep 12, 2021 Sparta Rotter… 3-1 Fortuna Sitta…
Feb 13, 2021 Sparta Rotter… 1-2 Fortuna Sitta…
Jan 13, 2021 Fortuna Sitta… 0-1 Sparta Rotter…
Key Factors
Sparta Rotterdam in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fortuna Sittard struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.