Pro League · Dec 08, 2024 15:00

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 58

Ajax
PWR 64

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 58
2 - 1
FT

Ajax
PWR 64
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AZ Alkmaar to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (13%)
0-3 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
1-3 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack66
Defense56
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack79
Defense54
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.3
AZ Alkmaar Form
WWLLD
STABLE
Ajax Form
DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS44%
Under 2.543%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Ajax Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
AZ Alkmaarvs
2.51
AjaxDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#103
AZ Alkmaar-47
Gap#56
Ajax
WR 53% 71 pts
WR 60% 83 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 40 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 75 | 50 | 71 |
| Ajax | 40 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 90 | 53 | 83 |
AZ Alkmaar
10.0%
| Dec 01 | AZ Alkm… v Heracles | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | AZ Alkm… v Sparta … | 1-2 |
| Nov 10 | AZ Alkm… v Willem … | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… | 3-2 |
| Oct 27 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
| Oct 27 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Oct 06 | AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… | 1-0 |
| Oct 06 | AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… | 1-0 |
Ajax
14.0%
| Dec 04 | Ajax v Utrecht | 2-2 |
| Dec 04 | Ajax v Utrecht | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Ajax v Nijmegen | 1-2 |
| Nov 24 | Ajax v Zwolle | 2-0 |
| Nov 10 | Ajax v FC Twen… | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Ajax v PSV Ein… | 3-2 |
| Oct 30 | Ajax v Feyenoo… | 0-2 |
| Oct 30 | Ajax v Feyenoo… | 0-2 |
| Oct 27 | Ajax v Willem … | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Ajax v Qarabağ… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 25, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Ajax | 1-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| May 06, 2023 | Ajax | 0-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Sep 18, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | Ajax |
| May 08, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-2 | Ajax |
| Mar 03, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0-2 | Ajax |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.