Pro League · Dec 08, 2024 15:00

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 58
2 - 1
FT

Ajax
PWR 64
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AZ Alkmaar to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (13%) 0-3 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-3 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack66
Defense56
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack79
Defense54
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.3
AZ Alkmaar Form WWLLD
STABLE
Ajax Form DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS44%
Under 2.543%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Ajax Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
AZ Alkmaar
vs
2.51
Ajax
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#103
AZ Alkmaar
-47
Gap
#56
Ajax
WR 53% 71 pts WR 60% 83 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
AZ Alkmaar4021811755071
Ajax4024115905383
AZ Alkmaar 10.0%
Dec 01 AZ Alkm… v Heracles 1-0
Nov 24 AZ Alkm… v Sparta … 1-2
Nov 10 AZ Alkm… v Willem … 1-2
Nov 02 AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… 3-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 2-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 2-2
Oct 19 AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… 1-2
Oct 19 AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… 1-2
Oct 06 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 1-0
Oct 06 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 1-0
Ajax 14.0%
Dec 04 Ajax v Utrecht 2-2
Dec 04 Ajax v Utrecht 2-2
Dec 01 Ajax v Nijmegen 1-2
Nov 24 Ajax v Zwolle 2-0
Nov 10 Ajax v FC Twen… 2-2
Nov 02 Ajax v PSV Ein… 3-2
Oct 30 Ajax v Feyenoo… 0-2
Oct 30 Ajax v Feyenoo… 0-2
Oct 27 Ajax v Willem … 1-0
Oct 24 Ajax v Qarabağ… 0-3
Head-to-Head (7)
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
Oct 08, 2023 Ajax 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
Sep 18, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax
May 08, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Ajax
Mar 03, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0-2 Ajax
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.