AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Nov 10, 2024

Benfica

Home
VS
15:00

FC Porto

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Benfica Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
FC Porto Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 4%
xG: 3.97 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Benfica Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Benfica vs Académico… 1-1
Nov 02 Benfica vs Farense 1-2
Oct 30 Benfica vs Santa Cla… 3-0
Oct 27 Benfica vs Rio Ave FC 5-0
Oct 27 Benfica vs Rio Ave FC 5-0
Oct 06 Benfica vs Chaves 1-0
Oct 04 Benfica vs Minija 5-0
Sep 30 Benfica vs Sporting … 0-2
Sep 28 Benfica vs GIL Vicen… 5-1
Sep 23 Benfica vs Boavista 0-3
FC Porto Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 FC Porto vs Rubin Kaz… 1-2
Nov 05 FC Porto vs CSKA Mosc… 0-1
Nov 03 FC Porto vs Estoril 4-0
Nov 03 FC Porto vs Estoril 4-0
Nov 02 FC Porto vs Spartak M… 3-1
Oct 31 FC Porto vs Moreirense 2-0
Oct 28 FC Porto vs AVS 0-5
Oct 28 FC Porto vs AVS 0-5
Oct 27 FC Porto vs Leixões SC 3-0
Oct 23 FC Porto vs Lokomotiv… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Benfica in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2024 Benfica 5 - 2 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica Primeira Liga
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica Pro League
Jan 14, 2024 FC Porto 0 - 3 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Sep 29, 2023 Benfica 1 - 0 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Aug 09, 2023 Benfica 2 - 0 FC Porto Super Cup
May 27, 2023 FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Apr 07, 2023 Benfica 1 - 2 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Jan 22, 2023 Benfica 2 - 2 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Oct 21, 2022 FC Porto 0 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Benfica to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Benfica Power 0
FC Porto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.