Pro League · Mar 03, 2024 15:00
FC Porto
PWR 75
Benfica
PWR 76
FC Porto
PWR 75
5 - 0
FT
Benfica
PWR 76
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Porto to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (17%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Strong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 2.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack79
Defense75
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G0.7
Attack82
Defense75
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G0.7
FC Porto Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Benfica Form
LWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS21%
Under 2.577%
FC Porto Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Benfica Goals
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
FC Portovs
0.33
BenficaDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#52
FC Porto-7
Gap#45
Benfica
WR 69% 87 pts
WR 72% 90 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 39 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 28 | 87 |
| Benfica | 39 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 91 | 28 | 90 |
FC Porto
12.0%
| Feb 29 | FC Porto v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | FC Porto v GIL Vic… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | FC Porto v GIL Vic… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | FC Porto v Leixões… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | FC Porto v Arsenal | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | FC Porto v Arouca | 3-2 |
| Feb 03 | FC Porto v Rio Ave… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | FC Porto v Farense | 1-3 |
Benfica
14.0%
| Feb 29 | Benfica v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Portimo… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| Feb 18 | Benfica v Vizela | 6-1 |
| Feb 15 | Benfica v Toulouse | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Benfica v Guimara… | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Benfica v Leixões… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Vizela | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | Benfica v MarĂtimo | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 14, 2024 | FC Porto | 0-3 | Benfica |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 09, 2023 | Benfica | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| May 27, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Benfica |
| Apr 07, 2023 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Benfica | 2-2 | FC Porto |
| Oct 21, 2022 | FC Porto | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 13, 2022 | FC Porto | 2-3 | Benfica |
| May 07, 2022 | Benfica | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.