Pro League · Apr 20, 2024 15:00
Moreirense
PWR 45
GIL Vicente
PWR 37
Moreirense
PWR 45
0 - 1
FT
GIL Vicente
PWR 37
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Moreirense to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (19%)
3-0 (17%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense56
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.3
Attack33
Defense51
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.4
Moreirense Form
LLDWD
DOWN
GIL Vicente Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS16%
Under 2.557%
Moreirense Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Moreirensevs
0.20
GIL VicenteDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#178
Moreirense+65
Gap#243
GIL Vicente
WR 41% 56 pts
WR 26% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 39 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 49 | 56 |
| GIL Vicente | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 37 | 55 | 43 |
Moreirense
8.0%
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v Leixões… | 1-1 |
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v MarĂtimo | 0-0 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v Estrela… | 2-2 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v Estrela… | 2-2 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Moreire… v Guimara… | 1-0 |
| Mar 30 | Moreire… v Guimara… | 1-0 |
GIL Vicente
0.0%
| Apr 12 | GIL Vic… v Sp Lisb… | 0-4 |
| Apr 12 | GIL Vic… v Sportin… | 0-4 |
| Apr 06 | GIL Vic… v Rio Ave… | 3-0 |
| Apr 06 | GIL Vic… v Rio Ave… | 3-0 |
| Mar 29 | GIL Vic… v Famalic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | GIL Vic… v Famalic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | GIL Vic… v SC Braga | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | GIL Vic… v Chaves | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | GIL Vic… v Casa Pi… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | GIL Vic… v Casa Pi… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Apr 08, 2022 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Moreirense | 2-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 11, 2021 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Dec 05, 2020 | Moreirense | 1-1 | GIL Vicente |
Key Factors
GIL Vicente struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.