AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Aug 18, 2024

Cagliari

Home
VS
15:00

AS Roma

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Cagliari Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
AS Roma Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.98 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cagliari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Cagliari Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Cagliari vs Carrarese 3-1
May 23 Cagliari vs Fiorentina 2-3
May 23 Cagliari vs Fiorentina 2-3
May 19 Cagliari vs Sassuolo 0-2
May 19 Cagliari vs Sassuolo 0-2
May 11 Cagliari vs AC Milan 5-1
May 11 Cagliari vs AC Milan 5-1
May 05 Cagliari vs Lecce 1-1
May 05 Cagliari vs Lecce 1-1
Apr 29 Cagliari vs Genoa 3-0
AS Roma Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 02 AS Roma vs Netherlan… 0-3
Jun 26 AS Roma vs Sloga Vin… 1-1
Jun 24 AS Roma vs Italy U17 1-1
Jun 22 AS Roma vs Belgium 2-0
Jun 19 AS Roma vs Atalanta 2-2
Jun 17 AS Roma vs Ukraine 3-0
Jun 15 AS Roma vs Paris FC 3-0
May 31 AS Roma vs AC Milan 5-2
May 26 AS Roma vs Empoli 2-1
May 26 AS Roma vs Empoli 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cagliari in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2024 AS Roma 4 - 0 Cagliari Pro League
Feb 05, 2024 AS Roma 4 - 0 Cagliari Serie A
Oct 08, 2023 Cagliari 1 - 4 AS Roma Serie A
Jan 16, 2022 AS Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari Serie A
Oct 27, 2021 Cagliari 1 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Apr 25, 2021 Cagliari 3 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Dec 23, 2020 AS Roma 3 - 2 Cagliari Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cagliari to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cagliari Power 34
AS Roma Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.