AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Sep 24, 2024

Atalanta

Home
VS
15:00

Como

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Atalanta Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Como Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.19 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atalanta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Atalanta Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Atalanta vs Fuerte Sa… 0-2
Sep 15 Atalanta vs Fiorentina 3-2
Sep 15 Atalanta vs Fiorentina 3-2
Aug 30 Atalanta vs Inter 4-0
Aug 30 Atalanta vs Inter 4-0
Aug 25 Atalanta vs Torino 2-1
Aug 25 Atalanta vs Torino 2-1
Aug 19 Atalanta vs Lecce 0-4
Aug 04 Atalanta vs Parma 4-1
Jul 28 Atalanta vs Municipal… 1-1
Como Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Como vs Bologna 2-2
Sep 14 Como vs Bologna 2-2
Sep 01 Como vs Udinese 1-0
Sep 01 Como vs Udinese 1-0
Aug 26 Como vs Cagliari 1-1
Aug 19 Como vs Juventus 3-0
Aug 11 Como vs Sampdoria 1-1
Jul 02 Como vs Zambia 1-0
May 10 Como vs Cosenza 1-1
May 10 Como vs Cosenza 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atalanta in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 23, 2022 Atalanta 4 - 0 Como Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atalanta to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atalanta Power 40
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.