Predictions Match Details
Pro League · Sep 14, 2024 15:00

Bari
PWR 27
2 - 0
FT

Mantova
PWR 28
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Bari to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack25
Defense54
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Attack30
Defense51
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Bari Form DDLLL
STABLE
Mantova Form WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS62%
Under 2.541%
Bari Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Mantova Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Bari
vs
1.53
Mantova
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#210
Bari
+77
Gap
#287
Mantova
WR 24% 50 pts WR 25% 23 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Bari45111717455450
Mantova20587222623
Bari 4.0%
Aug 31 Bari v Sampdor… 0-0
Aug 27 Bari v Sassuolo 1-1
Aug 23 Bari v Monza 2-1
Aug 17 Bari v Juve St… 1-3
Aug 17 Bari v Juve St… 1-3
Aug 10 Bari v Cremone… 1-1
Jul 24 Bari v Frosino… 3-4
May 23 Bari v Ternana 0-3
May 16 Bari v Ternana 1-1
May 10 Bari v Brescia 2-0
Mantova 12.0%
Sep 01 Mantova v Salerni… 1-0
Aug 28 Mantova v Juve St… 1-0
Aug 25 Mantova v Cosenza 3-2
Aug 18 Mantova v Reggian… 2-2
Aug 18 Mantova v Reggian… 2-2
Aug 12 Mantova v Lecce 2-1
Aug 13 Mantova v Cosenza 1-2
Key Factors
Bari struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.