Pro League · Sep 29, 2024 15:00
Monza
PWR 43
Sampdoria
PWR 32
Monza
PWR 43
1 - 3
FT
Sampdoria
PWR 32
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Monza to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack29
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Monza Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Sampdoria Form
DWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS56%
Under 2.538%
Monza Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Sampdoria Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Monzavs
0.96
SampdoriaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#51
Monza+92
Gap#143
Sampdoria
WR 19% 88 pts
WR 36% 62 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 89 | 17 | 37 | 35 | 95 | 124 | 88 |
| Sampdoria | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 62 | 64 | 62 |
Monza
12.0%
| Sep 26 | Monza v Brescia | 3-1 |
| Sep 22 | Monza v Bologna | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | Monza v Juve St… | 3-0 |
| Sep 15 | Monza v Inter | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Monza v Cosenza | 2-2 |
| Sep 13 | Monza v Cosenza | 2-2 |
| Sep 01 | Monza v Fiorent… | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Monza v Cittade… | 0-1 |
| Aug 27 | Monza v Frosino… | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Monza v Genoa | 0-1 |
Sampdoria
8.0%
| Sep 25 | Sampdor… v Genoa | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Sampdor… v Sudtirol | 1-0 |
| Sep 15 | Sampdor… v Cosenza | 2-1 |
| Aug 31 | Sampdor… v Bari | 0-0 |
| Aug 27 | Sampdor… v Salerni… | 3-2 |
| Aug 24 | Sampdor… v Reggian… | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Sampdor… v Reggian… | 0-1 |
| Aug 18 | Sampdor… v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Aug 11 | Sampdor… v Como | 1-1 |
| May 18 | Sampdor… v AC Mila… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 03, 2024 | Sampdoria | 2-2 | Monza |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Sampdoria | 2-2 | Monza |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Monza | 0-2 | Sampdoria |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.