Predictions Match Details
Pro League · Dec 15, 2023 15:00

Spezia
PWR 30
1 - 0
FT

Bari
PWR 27
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Spezia to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (47%) 1-0 (26%) 0-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack25
Defense54
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Spezia Form WLLLD
STABLE
Bari Form WWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.54%
BTTS8%
Under 2.596%
Spezia Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Bari Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Spezia
vs
0.20
Bari
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#97
Spezia
+113
Gap
#210
Bari
WR 40% 72 pts WR 24% 50 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Spezia4518189554472
Bari45111717455450
Spezia 6.0%
Dec 09 Spezia v Ascoli 1-2
Dec 02 Spezia v Parma 0-1
Nov 24 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Nov 24 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Oct 23 Spezia v Palermo 2-2
Aug 20 Spezia v Sudtirol 3-3
Apr 22 Spezia v Sampdor… 1-1
Sep 17 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Jan 23 Spezia v Sampdor… 1-0
Oct 22 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Bari 10.0%
Dec 09 Bari v Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 09 Bari v Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 03 Bari v Lecce 1-0
Nov 25 Bari v Venezia 0-3
Sep 24 Bari v Catanza… 2-2
Aug 18 Bari v Palermo 0-0
Jul 23 Bari v Pescara 5-0
Jun 02 Bari v Sudtirol 1-0
May 29 Bari v Sudtirol 1-0
Apr 10 Bari v Sudtirol 0-1
Key Factors
Spezia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.