Pro League · Mar 03, 2024 15:00

Bari
PWR 27

Spezia
PWR 30

Bari
PWR 27
1 - 1
FT

Spezia
PWR 30
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bari to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (15%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack25
Defense54
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Bari Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Spezia Form
LDDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS33%
Under 2.566%
Bari Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Spezia Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Barivs
0.55
SpeziaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#210
Bari-113
Gap#97
Spezia
WR 24% 50 pts
WR 40% 72 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bari | 45 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 45 | 54 | 50 |
| Spezia | 45 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 55 | 44 | 72 |
Bari
4.0%
| Feb 27 | Bari v Catanza… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Bari v Catanza… | 2-0 |
| Feb 24 | Bari v Sudtirol | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Bari v Sudtirol | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Bari v Feralpi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Bari v Lecce | 3-1 |
| Feb 02 | Bari v Palermo | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | Bari v Palermo | 3-0 |
| Jan 27 | Bari v Reggian… | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Bari v Ascoli | 2-2 |
Spezia
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Spezia v Feralpi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Spezia v Monza | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Spezia v Monza | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Spezia v Cittade… | 4-2 |
| Feb 11 | Spezia v Ternana | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Spezia v Catanza… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Spezia v Pisa | 2-3 |
| Jan 20 | Spezia v Cremone… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | Spezia v Como | 4-0 |
| Dec 26 | Spezia v Monza | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 15, 2023 | Spezia | 1-0 | Bari |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Spezia | 1-0 | Bari |
Key Factors
Bari struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.