Pro League · Feb 17, 2024 15:00
Napoli
PWR 40
Genoa
PWR 32
Napoli
PWR 40
1 - 1
FT
Genoa
PWR 32
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Napoli to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Napoli Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Genoa Form
LLDWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS29%
Under 2.577%
Napoli Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Genoa Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Napolivs
0.55
GenoaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#89
Napoli+105
Gap#194
Genoa
WR 46% 73 pts
WR 28% 53 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 44 | 20 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 73 |
| Genoa | 43 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 46 | 54 | 53 |
Napoli
10.0%
| Feb 11 | Napoli v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Napoli v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Napoli v Verona | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Napoli v Verona | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Napoli v Inter | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Napoli v Fiorentā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 13 | Napoli v Salerniā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 07 | Napoli v Torino | 3-0 |
Genoa
10.0%
| Feb 11 | Genoa v Atalanta | 1-4 |
| Feb 11 | Genoa v Atalanta | 1-4 |
| Feb 03 | Genoa v Empoli | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Genoa v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Genoa v Salerniā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | Genoa v Torino | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Genoa v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Genoa v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Genoa v Inter | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Genoa v Inter | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Sep 16, 2023 | Genoa | 2-2 | Napoli |
| May 15, 2022 | Napoli | 3-0 | Genoa |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Genoa | 2-1 | Napoli |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napoli | 6-0 | Genoa |
| Jul 08, 2020 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.