Pro League · Aug 22, 2024 15:00
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Grimsby
PWR 38
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
4 - 1
FT
Grimsby
PWR 38
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Newport County AFC to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (11%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Newport County… Form
DDWLD
STABLE
Grimsby Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS17%
Under 2.544%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Grimsby Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Newport County…vs
0.20
GrimsbyDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#5
Newport Cou…+28
Gap#33
Grimsby
WR 35% 188 pts
WR 36% 100 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County … | 150 | 53 | 29 | 68 | 212 | 226 | 188 |
| Grimsby | 75 | 27 | 19 | 29 | 95 | 113 | 100 |
Newport County…
10.0%
| Aug 18 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Aug 18 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Aug 17 | Newport… v Doncast… | 3-1 |
| Aug 10 | Newport… v Chelsea | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 0-0 |
| Jul 20 | Newport… v Llandud… | 3-0 |
| Apr 27 | Newport… v Brentfo… | 4-1 |
| Apr 27 | Newport… v Forest … | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Newport… v Forest … | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Newport… v Brentfo… | 4-1 |
Grimsby
8.0%
| Aug 17 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 3-2 |
| Aug 17 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Grimsby v Fleetwo… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | Grimsby v Fleetwo… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Grimsby v Crawley… | 2-0 |
| Apr 27 | Grimsby v Crawley… | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | Grimsby v Swindon | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | Grimsby v Swindon | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Grimsby v Manches… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Grimsby v Manches… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Newport Count… | 3-2 | Grimsby |
| Mar 07, 2023 | Grimsby | 1-1 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 03, 2022 | Newport Count… | 0-2 | Grimsby |
| May 23, 2022 | Newport Count… | 1-2 | Grimsby |
Key Factors
Grimsby struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.