Predictions Match Details
Pro League · Nov 16, 2024 15:00

Newport County AFC
PWR 26
0 - 0
FT

Grimsby
PWR 38
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Newport County AFC to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (58%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Newport County… Form LDLDD
STABLE
Grimsby Form LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.52%
BTTS5%
Under 2.598%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Grimsby Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
Newport County…
vs
0.20
Grimsby
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Newport Cou…
+28
Gap
#33
Grimsby
WR 35% 188 pts WR 36% 100 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Newport County …150532968212226188
Grimsby7527192995113100
Newport County… 6.0%
Nov 09 Newport… v Tranmer… 2-1
Nov 09 Newport… v Doncast… 1-1
Nov 09 Newport… v Tranmer… 2-1
Oct 26 Newport… v Fleetwo… 0-0
Oct 26 Newport… v Fleetwo… 0-0
Oct 26 Newport… v Harroga… 1-0
Oct 26 Newport… v Harroga… 1-0
Oct 22 Newport… v Birming… 0-2
Oct 22 Newport… v Barrow 1-1
Oct 22 Newport… v Birming… 0-2
Grimsby 4.0%
Nov 12 Grimsby v Chester… 3-2
Nov 09 Grimsby v AFC Wim… 0-1
Nov 02 Grimsby v Wealdst… 0-1
Oct 26 Grimsby v Milton … 1-3
Oct 26 Grimsby v Milton … 1-3
Oct 22 Grimsby v Tranmer… 0-1
Oct 22 Grimsby v Tranmer… 0-1
Oct 19 Grimsby v Walsall 1-4
Oct 12 Grimsby v Watford 1-2
Oct 12 Grimsby v Watford 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 22, 2024 Newport Count… 4-1 Grimsby
Aug 22, 2024 Newport Count… 4-1 Grimsby
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1-0 Newport Count…
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1-0 Newport Count…
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5-5 Newport Count…
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5-5 Newport Count…
Dec 16, 2023 Newport Count… 1-1 Grimsby
Dec 16, 2023 Newport Count… 1-1 Grimsby
Aug 12, 2023 Newport Count… 3-2 Grimsby
Mar 07, 2023 Grimsby 1-1 Newport Count…
Key Factors
Grimsby struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.