Pro League · Mar 11, 2025 15:00
Grimsby
PWR 38
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Grimsby
PWR 38
0 - 2
FT
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Grimsby to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (11%)
1-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Grimsby Form
WDDDD
STABLE
Newport County… Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS47%
Under 2.538%
Grimsby Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Grimsbyvs
0.69
Newport County…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#33
Grimsby-28
Gap#5
Newport Cou…
WR 36% 100 pts
WR 35% 188 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 75 | 27 | 19 | 29 | 95 | 113 | 100 |
| Newport County … | 150 | 53 | 29 | 68 | 212 | 226 | 188 |
Grimsby
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Grimsby v Walsall | 1-3 |
| Mar 04 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Grimsby v Fleetwo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Grimsby v Fleetwo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Grimsby v Doncast… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Grimsby v Carlisle | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Grimsby v Burnley | 0-2 |
Newport County…
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Newport… v AFC Wim… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Newport… v Birming… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Newport… v Birming… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Newport… v Barrow | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Doncast… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Newport… v Chelsea | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
Key Factors
Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.