Bundesliga · Sep 21, 2025 17:30
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
1 - 0
FT
VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Borussia Dortmund Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense72
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack30
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Borussia Dortm… Form
DWWDW
STABLE
VfL Wolfsburg Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS41%
Under 2.543%
Borussia Do… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
VfL Wolfsbu… Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Borussia Dortm…vs
0.59
VfL WolfsburgDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings88%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Borussia Do…+12
Gap#14
VfL Wolfsbu…
WR 80% 45 pts
WR 30% 19 pts
Borussia Dortm…
16.0%
| Sep 16 | Borussi… v Juventus | 4-4 |
| Sep 13 | Borussi… v FC Heid… | 0-2 |
| Aug 31 | Borussi… v Union B… | 3-0 |
| Aug 23 | Borussi… v FC St. … | 3-3 |
| Aug 18 | Borussi… v Rot-Wei… | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Borussi… v Juventus | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Borussi… v Holstei… | 3-0 |
| May 11 | Borussi… v Bayer L… | 2-4 |
| May 03 | Borussi… v VfL Wol… | 4-0 |
| Apr 26 | Borussi… v 1899 Ho… | 2-3 |
VfL Wolfsburg
12.0%
| Sep 13 | VfL Wol… v FC Koln | 3-3 |
| Aug 31 | VfL Wol… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | VfL Wol… v FC Heid… | 1-3 |
| Aug 16 | VfL Wol… v Hemelin… | 0-9 |
| Aug 09 | VfL Wol… v Brighton | 2-0 |
| May 17 | VfL Wol… v Borussi… | 0-1 |
| May 17 | VfL Wol… v M'gladb… | 0-1 |
| May 09 | VfL Wol… v 1899 Ho… | 2-2 |
| May 03 | VfL Wol… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| Apr 26 | VfL Wol… v SC Frei… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 03, 2025 | Borussia Dort… | 4-0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| Dec 22, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-3 | Borussia Dort… |
| Dec 22, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-3 | Borussia Dort… |
| Oct 29, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-0 | Borussia Dort… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | Borussia Dort… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | Borussia Dort… |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Borussia Dort… | 1-0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| May 07, 2023 | Borussia Dort… | 6-0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| Nov 08, 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2-0 | Borussia Dort… |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Borussia Dort… | 6-1 | VfL Wolfsburg |
Key Factors
Borussia Dortmund in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.