Bundesliga · Sep 21, 2025 15:30

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach
PWR 4
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Bayer Leverkusen to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense10
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G3.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form DWDLL
STABLE
Borussia Mönch… Form LLDDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS69%
Under 2.529%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Borussia Mö… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
Bayer Leverkus…
vs
1.25
Borussia Mönch…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Bayer Lever…
+6
Gap
#12
Borussia Mö…
WR 60% 36 pts WR 30% 22 pts
Bayer Leverkus… 8.0%
Sep 18 Bayer L… v FC Cope… 2-2
Sep 12 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 3-1
Aug 30 Bayer L… v Werder … 3-3
Aug 23 Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… 1-2
Aug 08 Bayer L… v Chelsea 2-0
May 17 Bayer L… v FSV Mai… 2-2
May 17 Bayer L… v Mainz 2-2
May 11 Bayer L… v Borussi… 2-4
May 04 Bayer L… v SC Frei… 2-2
Apr 26 Bayer L… v FC Augs… 2-0
Borussia Mönch… 4.0%
Sep 14 Borussi… v Werder … 0-4
Aug 30 Borussi… v VfB Stu… 1-0
Aug 24 Borussi… v Hamburg… 0-0
Aug 08 Borussi… v Brentfo… 2-2
May 17 Borussi… v VfL Wol… 0-1
May 10 Borussi… v Bayern … 2-0
May 03 Borussi… v 1899 Ho… 4-4
Apr 26 Borussi… v Holstei… 4-3
Apr 20 Borussi… v Borussi… 3-2
Apr 06 Borussi… v FC St. … 1-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Jan 18, 2025 Bayer Leverku… 3-1 Borussia Mönc…
Aug 23, 2024 Borussia Mönc… 2-3 Bayer Leverku…
Jan 27, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 0-0 Borussia Mönc…
Aug 26, 2023 Borussia Mönc… 0-3 Bayer Leverku…
May 21, 2023 Bayer Leverku… 2-2 Borussia Mönc…
Jan 22, 2023 Borussia Mönc… 2-3 Bayer Leverku…
Jan 15, 2022 Borussia Mönc… 1-2 Bayer Leverku…
Aug 21, 2021 Bayer Leverku… 4-0 Borussia Mönc…
Mar 06, 2021 Borussia Mönc… 0-1 Bayer Leverku…
Key Factors
Borussia Mönchengladbach struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.