AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Sep 27, 2025

Forest Green

Home
VS
16:30

York

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Forest Green Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
York Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.13 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Forest Green Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
York Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Forest Green Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Forest Gr… vs Altrincham 1-2
Sep 20 Forest Gr… vs Woking 0-2
Sep 16 Forest Gr… vs Wolves U21 3-2
Sep 13 Forest Gr… vs Scunthorpe 1-1
Sep 06 Forest Gr… vs Hartlepool 1-0
Sep 02 Forest Gr… vs Morecambe 1-3
Aug 30 Forest Gr… vs Braintree 0-0
Aug 25 Forest Gr… vs Eastleigh 1-0
Aug 23 Forest Gr… vs FC Halifa… 1-2
Aug 20 Forest Gr… vs Southampt… 4-0
York Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 York vs Carlisle 5-0
Sep 20 York vs Solihull … 0-1
Sep 13 York vs Braintree 2-3
Sep 09 York vs Tamworth 4-0
Sep 06 York vs Yeovil To… 1-3
Aug 25 York vs Woking 1-1
Aug 20 York vs Southend 0-0
Aug 16 York vs Truro City 0-2
Aug 09 York vs Southampt… 2-2
Aug 02 York vs Spennymoo… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Forest Green in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • York in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Forest Green Power 42
York Power 52
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Forest Green Position

-2

Position Gap

2

York Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.