AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Sep 27, 2025

Southend

Home
VS
14:00

Scunthorpe

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Southend Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Scunthorpe Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.58 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southend Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Scunthorpe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Southend Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Southend vs Eastleigh 2-1
Sep 13 Southend vs Bolton 1-1
Sep 06 Southend vs FC Halifa… 3-0
Sep 02 Southend vs Wealdstone 3-2
Aug 30 Southend vs Solihull … 1-2
Aug 25 Southend vs Hartlepool 1-1
Aug 23 Southend vs Truro City 0-1
Aug 20 Southend vs York 0-0
Aug 16 Southend vs Tamworth 2-0
Aug 09 Southend vs Gateshead 0-3
Scunthorpe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 1-1
Sep 20 Scunthorpe vs Truro City 4-0
Sep 16 Scunthorpe vs Leeds Uni… 1-3
Sep 13 Scunthorpe vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Sep 06 Scunthorpe vs Wealdstone 3-0
Aug 30 Scunthorpe vs Crawley T… 1-1
Aug 25 Scunthorpe vs FC Halifa… 1-1
Aug 23 Scunthorpe vs Southampt… 2-3
Aug 16 Scunthorpe vs Woking 3-1
Aug 12 Scunthorpe vs Sunderlan… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southend Power 42
Scunthorpe Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Southend Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Scunthorpe Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 47%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.