AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Sep 27, 2025

Arsenal Women

Home
VS
11:00

Aston Villa Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Arsenal Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Aston Villa Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.26 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arsenal Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Arsenal Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Arsenal W… vs Mancheste… 0-0
Sep 12 Arsenal W… vs West Ham … 1-5
Sep 06 Arsenal W… vs London Ci… 4-1
May 10 Arsenal W… vs Mancheste… 4-3
Apr 30 Arsenal W… vs Aston Vil… 5-2
Apr 15 Arsenal W… vs Leicester… 5-1
Mar 26 Arsenal W… vs Real Madr… 3-0
Mar 22 Arsenal W… vs Liverpool… 4-0
Mar 18 Arsenal W… vs Real Madr… 2-0
Mar 14 Arsenal W… vs Everton W… 1-3
Aston Villa Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 0-0
Sep 14 Aston Vil… vs Chelsea W… 1-3
Sep 07 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 0-0
May 10 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 3-1
Apr 30 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 5-2
Apr 20 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-3
Mar 30 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 1-2
Mar 23 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-4
Mar 09 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-0
Mar 02 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arsenal Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 30, 2025 Aston Villa Women 5 - 2 Arsenal Women FA WSL
Dec 08, 2024 Arsenal Women 4 - 0 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Mar 24, 2024 Aston Villa Women 1 - 3 Arsenal Women FA WSL
Mar 06, 2024 Arsenal Women 4 - 0 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Oct 15, 2023 Arsenal Women 2 - 1 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
May 27, 2023 Arsenal Women 0 - 2 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Jan 26, 2023 Arsenal Women 3 - 0 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Dec 11, 2022 Aston Villa Women 1 - 4 Arsenal Women FA WSL
May 01, 2022 Arsenal Women 7 - 0 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

ELITE: Arsenal Women to win (91% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 91% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 60 vs 30
Arsenal Women Power 60
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Arsenal Women Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Aston Villa Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.