National League · Oct 04, 2025 16:30
Scunthorpe
PWR 44
Carlisle
PWR 42
Scunthorpe
PWR 44
0 - 1
FT
Carlisle
PWR 42
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Scunthorpe to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense67
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack54
Defense65
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.2
Scunthorpe Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Carlisle Form
WLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS44%
Under 2.541%
Scunthorpe Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Carlisle Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Scunthorpevs
0.63
CarlisleDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings56%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Scunthorpe+1
Gap#4
Carlisle
WR 71% 60 pts
WR 57% 59 pts
Scunthorpe
14.0%
| Oct 01 | Scuntho… v York | 1-3 |
| Sep 27 | Scuntho… v Southend | 0-2 |
| Sep 24 | Scuntho… v Boreham… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Scuntho… v Truro C… | 4-0 |
| Sep 16 | Scuntho… v Leeds U… | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | Scuntho… v Forest … | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | Scuntho… v Wealdst… | 3-0 |
| Aug 30 | Scuntho… v Crawley… | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Scuntho… v FC Hali… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Scuntho… v Southam… | 2-3 |
Carlisle
12.0%
| Oct 01 | Carlisle v Hartlep… | 3-1 |
| Sep 27 | Carlisle v Rochdale | 0-2 |
| Sep 23 | Carlisle v York | 5-0 |
| Sep 20 | Carlisle v Altrinc… | 1-2 |
| Sep 13 | Carlisle v Aldersh… | 2-0 |
| Sep 06 | Carlisle v Truro C… | 3-0 |
| Sep 03 | Carlisle v Crawley… | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | Carlisle v Southam… | 2-1 |
| Aug 25 | Carlisle v Braintr… | 5-0 |
| Aug 23 | Carlisle v Wealdst… | 0-1 |
Key Factors
Scunthorpe in strong form (3W in last 5)
Carlisle in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.