Bundesliga · Sep 20, 2025 16:30
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
FC Koln
PWR 46
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
3 - 1
FT
FC Koln
PWR 46
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
RB Leipzig Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
83%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 83%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense60
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.4
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
RB Leipzig Form
WWLWL
STABLE
FC Koln Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS67%
Under 2.535%
RB Leipzig Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
FC Koln Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
RB Leipzigvs
1.49
FC KolnDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings71%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
RB Leipzig+4
Gap#10
FC Koln
WR 70% 36 pts
WR 20% 23 pts
RB Leipzig
12.0%
| Sep 13 | RB Leip… v FSV Mai… | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | RB Leip… v FC Heid… | 2-0 |
| Aug 22 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 6-0 |
| Aug 16 | RB Leip… v SV Sand… | 2-4 |
| Aug 09 | RB Leip… v Lens | 2-1 |
| May 17 | RB Leip… v VfB Stu… | 2-3 |
| May 10 | RB Leip… v Werder … | 0-0 |
| May 03 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 3-3 |
| Apr 26 | RB Leip… v Eintrac… | 4-0 |
| Apr 19 | RB Leip… v Holstei… | 1-1 |
FC Koln
18.0%
| Sep 13 | FC Koln v VfL Wol… | 3-3 |
| Aug 31 | FC Koln v SC Frei… | 4-1 |
| Aug 24 | FC Koln v FSV Mai… | 0-1 |
| Aug 17 | FC Koln v Jahn Re… | 1-2 |
| Aug 09 | FC Koln v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| May 18 | FC Koln v FC Kais… | 4-0 |
| May 09 | FC Koln v FC Nurn… | 1-2 |
| May 03 | FC Koln v Jahn Re… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | FC Koln v Hannove… | 1-0 |
| Apr 20 | FC Koln v Preusse… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 15, 2024 | FC Koln | 1-5 | RB Leipzig |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FC Koln | 1-5 | RB Leipzig |
| Oct 28, 2023 | RB Leipzig | 6-0 | FC Koln |
| Feb 04, 2023 | FC Koln | 0-0 | RB Leipzig |
| Aug 13, 2022 | RB Leipzig | 2-2 | FC Koln |
| Feb 11, 2022 | RB Leipzig | 3-1 | FC Koln |
| Sep 18, 2021 | FC Koln | 1-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Apr 20, 2021 | FC Koln | 2-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Dec 19, 2020 | RB Leipzig | 0-0 | FC Koln |
| Jun 01, 2020 | FC Koln | 2-4 | RB Leipzig |
Key Factors
RB Leipzig in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Koln in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.