Bundesliga · Sep 20, 2025 13:30

FC Augsburg
PWR 28
1 - 4
FT

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
FC Augsburg Form LLWWW
DOWN
FSV Mainz 05 Form LDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS63%
Under 2.535%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
FC Augsburg
vs
2.34
FSV Mainz 05
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings56%
Market50%
League Standings
#13
FC Augsburg
+1
Gap
#14
FSV Mainz 05
WR 36% 22 pts WR 20% 21 pts
FC Augsburg 12.0%
Sep 14 FC Augs… v FC St. … 2-1
Aug 30 FC Augs… v Bayern … 2-3
Aug 23 FC Augs… v SC Frei… 1-3
Aug 17 FC Augs… v Hallesc… 0-2
Aug 15 FC Augs… v FC Saar… 1-3
Aug 09 FC Augs… v Sunderl… 0-1
Aug 08 FC Augs… v Pisa 2-2
May 18 FC Augs… v Fortuna… 4-2
May 17 FC Augs… v Union B… 1-2
May 11 FC Augs… v VfB Stu… 4-0
FSV Mainz 05 6.0%
Sep 13 FSV Mai… v RB Leip… 0-1
Aug 31 FSV Mai… v VfL Wol… 1-1
Aug 28 FSV Mai… v Rosenbo… 4-1
Aug 24 FSV Mai… v FC Koln 0-1
Aug 21 FSV Mai… v Rosenbo… 2-1
Aug 18 FSV Mai… v Dynamo … 0-1
Aug 09 FSV Mai… v Strasbo… 0-0
Jul 11 FSV Mai… v Bayern … 0-4
May 17 FSV Mai… v Bayer L… 2-2
May 10 FSV Mai… v VfL Boc… 1-4
Head-to-Head (9)
Feb 08, 2025 FSV Mainz 05 0-0 FC Augsburg
Sep 20, 2024 FC Augsburg 2-3 FSV Mainz 05
Feb 17, 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1-0 FC Augsburg
Sep 23, 2023 FC Augsburg 2-1 FSV Mainz 05
Feb 11, 2023 FSV Mainz 05 3-1 FC Augsburg
Aug 20, 2022 FC Augsburg 1-2 FSV Mainz 05
Apr 06, 2022 FC Augsburg 2-1 FSV Mainz 05
Oct 22, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 4-1 FC Augsburg
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0-1 FC Augsburg
Key Factors
FC Augsburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
FSV Mainz 05 struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.