Bundesliga · Sep 20, 2025 13:30

FC Augsburg
PWR 28

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43

FC Augsburg
PWR 28
1 - 4
FT

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
0-2 (8%)
1-3 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
0-3 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
FC Augsburg Form
LLWWW
DOWN
FSV Mainz 05 Form
LDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS63%
Under 2.535%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
FC Augsburgvs
2.34
FSV Mainz 05Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings56%
Market50%
League Standings
#13
FC Augsburg+1
Gap#14
FSV Mainz 05
WR 36% 22 pts
WR 20% 21 pts
FC Augsburg
12.0%
| Sep 14 | FC Augs⦠v FC St. ⦠| 2-1 |
| Aug 30 | FC Augs⦠v Bayern ⦠| 2-3 |
| Aug 23 | FC Augs⦠v SC Frei⦠| 1-3 |
| Aug 17 | FC Augs⦠v Hallesc⦠| 0-2 |
| Aug 15 | FC Augs⦠v FC Saar⦠| 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | FC Augs⦠v Sunderl⦠| 0-1 |
| Aug 08 | FC Augs⦠v Pisa | 2-2 |
| May 18 | FC Augs⦠v Fortuna⦠| 4-2 |
| May 17 | FC Augs⦠v Union B⦠| 1-2 |
| May 11 | FC Augs⦠v VfB Stu⦠| 4-0 |
FSV Mainz 05
6.0%
| Sep 13 | FSV Mai⦠v RB Leip⦠| 0-1 |
| Aug 31 | FSV Mai⦠v VfL Wol⦠| 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | FSV Mai⦠v Rosenbo⦠| 4-1 |
| Aug 24 | FSV Mai⦠v FC Koln | 0-1 |
| Aug 21 | FSV Mai⦠v Rosenbo⦠| 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | FSV Mai⦠v Dynamo ⦠| 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | FSV Mai⦠v Strasbo⦠| 0-0 |
| Jul 11 | FSV Mai⦠v Bayern ⦠| 0-4 |
| May 17 | FSV Mai⦠v Bayer L⦠| 2-2 |
| May 10 | FSV Mai⦠v VfL Boc⦠| 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 08, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-0 | FC Augsburg |
| Sep 20, 2024 | FC Augsburg | 2-3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 | FC Augsburg |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 1-2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Apr 06, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Oct 22, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Augsburg |
Key Factors
FC Augsburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
FSV Mainz 05 struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.