Bundesliga · Sep 20, 2025 13:30

Werder Bremen
PWR 35
0 - 3
FT

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Werder Bremen Form WDLLL
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form WLLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS33%
Under 2.575%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Werder Bremen
vs
0.80
SC Freiburg
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Werder Brem…
-9
Gap
#7
SC Freiburg
WR 30% 19 pts WR 18% 30 pts
Werder Bremen 6.0%
Sep 14 Werder … v Borussi… 0-4
Aug 30 Werder … v Bayer L… 3-3
Aug 23 Werder … v Eintrac… 4-1
Aug 15 Werder … v Arminia… 1-0
Aug 09 Werder … v Udinese 0-1
May 17 Werder … v FC Heid… 1-4
May 17 Werder … v 1899 Ho… 1-4
May 10 Werder … v RB Leip… 0-0
May 03 Werder … v Union B… 2-2
Apr 27 Werder … v FC St. … 0-0
SC Freiburg 6.0%
Sep 13 SC Frei… v VfB Stu… 3-1
Aug 31 SC Frei… v FC Koln 4-1
Aug 23 SC Frei… v FC Augs… 1-3
Aug 09 SC Frei… v Osasuna 2-2
May 17 SC Frei… v Eintrac… 1-3
May 10 SC Frei… v Holstei… 1-2
May 04 SC Frei… v Bayer L… 2-2
Apr 26 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 0-1
Apr 19 SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… 3-2
Apr 12 SC Frei… v M'gladb… 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Feb 21, 2025 SC Freiburg 5-0 Werder Bremen
Oct 05, 2024 Werder Bremen 0-1 SC Freiburg
Oct 05, 2024 Werder Bremen 0-1 SC Freiburg
Jan 27, 2024 Werder Bremen 3-1 SC Freiburg
Jan 27, 2024 Werder Bremen 3-1 SC Freiburg
Aug 26, 2023 SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Apr 16, 2023 Werder Bremen 1-2 SC Freiburg
Oct 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Feb 13, 2021 Werder Bremen 0-0 SC Freiburg
Oct 17, 2020 SC Freiburg 1-1 Werder Bremen
Key Factors
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.