Serie B · Sep 20, 2025 15:15
Monza
PWR 43
Sampdoria
PWR 32
Monza
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT
Sampdoria
PWR 32
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Monza Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
0-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack29
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Monza Form
LDWLL
STABLE
Sampdoria Form
LLLDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS56%
Under 2.546%
Monza Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Sampdoria Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Monzavs
1.10
SampdoriaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings88%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Monza+12
Gap#14
Sampdoria
WR 75% 47 pts
WR 8% 25 pts
Monza
6.0%
| Sep 12 | Monza v Avellino | 2-1 |
| Aug 31 | Monza v Bari | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Monza v Mantova | 1-0 |
| Aug 18 | Monza v Torino | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Monza v Frosino… | 0-1 |
| Aug 12 | Monza v Inter | 2-2 |
| May 24 | Monza v AC Milan | 2-0 |
| May 18 | Monza v Empoli | 1-3 |
| May 13 | Monza v Cosenza | 0-1 |
| May 11 | Monza v Udinese | 1-2 |
Sampdoria
4.0%
| Sep 13 | Sampdor… v Cesena | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sampdor… v Sudtirol | 3-1 |
| Aug 25 | Sampdor… v Modena | 0-2 |
| Aug 18 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 1-1 |
| May 13 | Sampdor… v Juve St… | 0-0 |
| May 11 | Sampdor… v Sassuol… | 4-2 |
| May 09 | Sampdor… v Salerni… | 1-0 |
| May 09 | Sampdor… v Alianza | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Sampdor… v Catanza… | 2-2 |
| May 03 | Sampdor… v Como Wo… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 08, 2025 | Sampdoria | 1-0 | Monza |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Monza | 1-3 | Sampdoria |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Monza | 1-3 | Sampdoria |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Sampdoria | 2-2 | Monza |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Sampdoria | 2-2 | Monza |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Monza | 0-2 | Sampdoria |
Key Factors
Monza struggling (3L in last 5)
Sampdoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.