AI Match Insights

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Copa Paulista Sep 28, 2025

Primavera SP

Home
VS
18:00

Grêmio Prudente

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Primavera SP Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Grêmio Prudente Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.76 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Primavera SP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Grêmio Prudente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Primavera SP Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Primavera… vs Grêmio Pr… 1-0
Sep 12 Primavera… vs União São… 0-2
Sep 08 Primavera… vs União São… 4-0
Aug 31 Primavera… vs Paulista … 2-0
Aug 23 Primavera… vs Paulista … 1-0
Aug 16 Primavera… vs São Berna… 1-1
Aug 10 Primavera… vs XV de Pir… 0-2
Aug 03 Primavera… vs Paulista … 2-0
Jul 28 Primavera… vs Guaraní RS 0-3
Jul 20 Primavera… vs Rio Branc… 1-0
Grêmio Prudente Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Grêmio Pr… vs Primavera… 1-0
Sep 13 Grêmio Pr… vs Maracanaú… 3-0
Sep 07 Grêmio Pr… vs Maracanaú… 1-1
Aug 30 Grêmio Pr… vs São Caeta… 2-0
Aug 23 Grêmio Pr… vs São Caeta… 0-0
Aug 16 Grêmio Pr… vs Fluminense 2-1
Aug 09 Grêmio Pr… vs AEA 1-1
Jul 26 Grêmio Pr… vs Oeste 2-0
Jul 16 Grêmio Pr… vs Monte Azul 1-1
Jul 12 Grêmio Pr… vs Fluminense 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Primavera SP in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Grêmio Prudente in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Grêmio Prudente 1 - 0 Primavera SP Copa Paulista
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Primavera SP to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Primavera SP Power 0
Grêmio Prudente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.